The most likely outcome in every Championship match in gameweek 18, according to statistics

The most likely outcome in every Championship match in gameweek 18, according to statistics
It’s set to be a big weekend in the Championship and you would be a fool not to tune into talkSPORT 2 for it.We’ve already brought you West Brom’s 2-1 win over Ipswich Town at Portman Road and we’re going to bring you two more brilliant clashes from the second tier with Rotherham vs Sheffield United at 12pm on Saturday and the Second City derby on Sunday as Aston Villa host Birmingham at 12pm.5

talkSPORT 2 will be at Villa Park on Sunday morning.

But we wouldn’t like to predict what the outcome will be in these matches instead we’ll leave it to some people with fantastic knowledge and a tested system.FiveThirtyEighthave crunched the numbers and given the likeliness of each outcome in every game, but what do they think will happen? Find out below.*All figures are rounded and may not total 100 per cent Rotherham United v Sheffield United (Saturday at 12:30pm) – live on talkSPORT 2Rotherham win 25 per cent chance of happeningSheffield United win 47 per cent chance of happeningDraw 28 per cent chance of happening5

Sheffield United star Leon Clarke

Hull City v Nottingham Forest (Saturday at 3pm)Hull win 41 per cent chance of happeningNottingham Forest win 29 per cent chance of happeningDraw 30 per cent chance of happeningLeeds United v Bristol City (Saturday at 3pm)Leeds win 52 per cent chance of happeningBristol win 20 per cent chance of happeningDraw 28 per cent chance of happening5

Kemar Roofe celebrates scoring against Nottingham Forest.

Millwall v Bolton Wanderers (Saturday at 3pm)Millwall win 55 per cent chance of happeningBolton win 19 per cent chance of happeningDraw 26 per cent chance of happeningPreston North End v Blackburn Rovers (Saturday at 3pm)Preston win 49 per cent chance of happeningBlackburn win 24 per cent chance of happeningDraw 27 per cent chance of happeningSheffield Wednesday v Derby County (Saturday at 3pm)Sheffield Wednesday win 34 per cent chance of happeningDerby win 39 per cent chance of happeningDraw 28 per cent chance of happening5

Sheffield Wednesday players celebrate

Stoke City v Queens Park Rangers (Saturday at 3pm)Stoke win 54 per cent chance of happeningQPR win 19 per cent chance of happeningDraw 27 per cent chance of happeningSwansea City v Norwich City (Saturday at 3pm)Swansea win 40 per cent chance of happeningNorwich win 32 per cent chance of happeningDraw 28 per cent chance of happening5

Norwich City players celebrate with their own fans at Ipswich Town’s Portman Road.

Wigan Athletic v Reading (Saturday at 3pm)Wigan win 45 per cent chance of happeningReading win 28 per cent chance of happeningDraw 27 per cent chance of happeningBrentford v Middlesbrough (Saturday at 5:30pm)Brentford win 36 per cent chance of happeningMiddlesbrough win 33 per cent chance of happeningDraw 31 per cent chance of happeningAston Villa v Birmingham City (Sunday at 12pm)Aston Villa win 51 per cent chance of happeningBirmingham win 23 per cent chance of happeningDraw 27 per cent chance of happening

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